Poll: De Blasio surpasses 40 percent needed to avoid runoff

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Bill de Blasio has enough votes to win the September 10 primary and avoid a runoff the following month, according to the results of a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday. Photo courtesy of Instagram/de Blasio NYC
Bill de Blasio has enough votes to win the September 10 primary and avoid a runoff the following month, according to the results of a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday.

The Democratic nominee for mayor could be decided by next week according a new Quinnipiac University poll.

With 43 percent of likely Democratic voters saying they would pick Public Advocate Bill de Blasio to head the city, he surpasses the 40 percent needed to avoid a runoff.

The survey results, released Tuesday, show former City Comptroller Bill Thompson with 20 percent, followed by City Council Speaker Christine Quinn with 18 percent, former Congressmember Anthony Weiner with 7 percent , 18 percent, City Comptroller John Liu with 4 percent, former Councilmember Sal Albanese with 1 percent and 8 percent undecided.

De Blasio has been the front-runner since an August 13 Quinnipiac poll, and surged ahead to 36 percent in an August 28 survey.

Previously, Quinn had been the leader in the mayoral race, but has fallen to third place since last week’s poll.

“Council Speaker Christine Quinn’s collapse could be part of a seeming New York tradition of throwing female candidates under the bandwagon wheels. Well-known women such as Carol Bellamy, Mary Codd and Ruth Messinger all came up short,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

In the September 3 poll, women likely Democratic primary voters went 44 percent for de Blasio, 19 percent for Thompson and 18 percent for Quinn. Male voters went 41 percent for de Blasio, 20 percent for Thompson and 18 percent for Quinn.

Though the poll showed a runoff may not be necessary, in that situation, de Blasio would win over Quinn 66 to 25 percent and Thompson 56 to 36 percent. In a Thompson-Quinn runoff, Thompson would lead over Quinn 59 to 33 percent.

 

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